May 19, 2006

What's this!?

A New Age

So while scurrying across the web on a routine sports search i find an interesting article. In it is a wonderful bashing of an article written by Bill Plaschke of the Los Angeles Times. Aaron Gleeman never yields or relents the unforgiving assault on Bill.

Anyway, halfway through it I stumble across a famous statistician aficionado named Branch Rickey. The man made something very similar to a baseball system that I had created during the past year or so in my part time. It devised simple constants in baseball into a useful and accurate structure.

His article from a 1954 issue of LIFE magazine inspired me to almost completely revamp my old setup and produce a revised version. It made some interesting points that had me redoing the formula soon after.

The new version heavily favored Albert Pujols as expected in its trial run but seemed to get out other errors the original system made time and time again. It completely did away with that aging scheme and had me entering a new era of statistical ranking.

Below, the new formula can be seen in its entirety.

{R/ H+BB+HBP} +
{SB / H+BB+HBP} +
{(D*2)+(T*3)+(HR*4) / AB} +
{BB-SO / AB+BB+HBP}

These four elements combined equal out a final figure that gives the player his Statistical Quotient (SQ).

EDIT!!! Soon after writing and discovering this I tried it out on some of the all-time greats. Naturally I wanted to see where Bonds and Ruth came out at. During its first trial run I realised that to have the OBP as a multiple was ridiculously unfair. The system had to be changed. The other way (R times OBP divided by 100) would have beeen great only for single seasons but would heavily favor people who played longer. So now it has been fixed and cleared up.

Reaching For October

Diamondbacks Last Forever


Or maybe they don't. This isn't the same team that bull rushed opponents 5 years ago with Randy Johnson and Luis Gonzalez pounding fastballs hard and heavy and homeruns deep and often.

While Gonzalez still is on the potential NL West Winners lineup, he is at best a shadow of his former self. A 20 homerun year would be a step up for the aging fielder. As of now it is Chad Tracy leading the batting squad hitting .297 and 7 balls over the fence so far. Tracy also leads the team in extra base hits, RBIs, and is 5th in the Major Leagues with 14 doubles.

Their former Dodger master, Shawn Green, is lacking any actual technique or any solid play so far and surprisingly never received any steroid accusations. The slugger didnt hit over 30 homeruns since steroid testing began which is startling considering 3 of 4 40 homerun seasons previous to it. But, although his power may be gone, he still has a good enough eye to get on base with an NL second best .338 average. Along with Green, their bench is a pretty solid squad of power, experience, and poise

The batting does seem solid enough to overrun the Padres. The pitching isn't exactly weak either. The D' Backs are holding one of the few undefeated pitchers left in Brandon Webb. Webb stands at a perfect 6-0 record. It also positions him at a second place spot in the wins column. Meanwhile, El Duque struggles at a 2-4, 6.98 ERA start and may lose all credibility as a solid starter.

'Zona may have a tough road to the playoffs this time. Their back to back losing seasons are still hot on the minds of fans and the division consists of 4 almost equivolent teams record wise that should make August and September interesting.

My Pick... D' Backs miss it by 3 and a half games.

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